October 26, 2009

Manual Spectator Headline Generator

Posted in Conservatives, History, Hysteria, Media, Other blogs, Politics, Society at 10:08 am by Paul Sagar

After previously supporting the vacuous (and dangerous) nonesense that there is a link between the MMR vaccine and autism, and after recently deciding to join the ranks of the global warming deniers, The Spectator editor Fraser Nelson has decided to go for Aids denialism as well (and again).

Ben Goldacre at Bad Science and Sunder at Next Left have good analyses (with tonnes of links) covering the science and the politics. I have nothing new to add, as everything that needs to be said has been.

Instead, I thought we could anticipate – or perhaps even suggest – some headlines the home of Mad Mel might run in future. How about:

- “Is the Earth really spherical? It looks round to us. Legitimate questions need to be asked about the post-Colombus Consensus that one does not fall off the edge of the world if one keeps sailing west.”

- “Is the Sun really at the centre of the solar system? If you look at the sky, you can clearly see that the sun revolves around us. Is it acceptable to have a debate about whether Copernicus pulled off the longest-running con in world history?”

- “Evolution: Fraser Nelson asks: ‘Just because I write and act like a monkey, does that mean my ancestors were monkeys? It’s time to challenge the left-liberal-pharma-industrial-complex and ask if God had the answers all along.”

- “Dinosaurs: are we being tested by God?”

- “Gordon Brown: Born and raised in Scotland? Or born and trained in Afghanistan? It’s time to ask: is the PM really British, or part of a sinister foreign terrorist conspiracy?”

- “Revealed: NHS death panels execute “unproductive” elderly. Truth about 60 year mistake unveiled.”

- “Do bacteria really exist or are they really just a vicious plot manufactured by the soap industry in order to get a hold of ordinary honest hard working people’s (your!) well-earned money?!” (Thanks Mads)

The list will be updated as I think of new ones. If you have suggestions, put them in comments and the best ones I’ll add to the main post.

October 13, 2009

Moving the Goal Posts

Posted in Cameron, Conservatives, Hysteria, Labour, Media, Political Philosophy, Politics, Society at 11:26 pm by Paul Sagar

I’m not going to defend individual MPs incriminated in the expenses scandal. What those MPs did was totally wrong (though let’s also be fair and remember that most MPs did in fact stay within both the spirit and letter of the rules).

Yet I am deeply uncomfortable with the imposition of retrospective rule-changes resulting in thousands of pounds being demanded from individual MPs. Here’s some reasons why I feel uncomfortable:

1. Morally, there looks to be something very fishy about saying “oh, those were the rules, but we’ve changed them now, and there’s nothing you can do about it – now please give us lots of money”. As Anne Widdecombe [I can't believe I'm going to quote her approvingly, what is the world coming to?] put it on the BBC today, if a private employer turned around to their employees and said “OK, you stayed within the rules as they were originally set and the expenses departement approved your claims, but now we’ve changed the rules and you have to pay back what you claimed”, then that employer would be up in front of an employment tribunal. And that employer would lose. I don’t really see why it’s any different for MPs, to be honest and with an eye to ethical consistency.

2. There looks like some further – pretty unsustainable – inconsistency here. From what I can tell, Jacqui Smith claimed c. £110,000 in expenses by breaking the rules. Yet she’s not being asked to pay it back. Why? The only reason I can think of is that the new regime has concluded that this is too much to ask one person to repay. Instead, they are demanding that those who made smaller claims, but which were within the rules, pay money back. This looks inconsistent, and arbitrary. And indefensible, frankly.

3. Which makes me think this is more about gesture politics than anything else. It was decided that a big show of “cleaning up Westminster” needed to be made, and this is how it’s now going to be achieved: hitting MPs where it hurts, in a very public way. But because of the 1. and 2. above, it looks more like empty gesturing designed to pander to an angry electorate, rather than simply delivering the substantial reform which is actually needed. Which is a problem because…

4. It puts MPs and Party Leaders in a pretty impossible situation. Cameron has already said that any Tory MP refusing to repay expenses will have the whip withdrawn. Brown has said he will consider doing the same for Labour. The leaders have to do this, because there is no room for complaint: if they try and point out that it’s pretty fishy to retrospectively move the goal posts in order to facilitate gesture politics, they will be instantly pilloried. This means nobody can complain that this sort of retributive justice may not be the right way to do things if we’re serious about cleaning up Westminster. Furthermore – and importantly – this means that a basic tenet of delivering justice – the right to appeal – is de facto being denied (because of the enormous personal cost of so-appealing, in the present climate). And that bothers me.

5. What bothers me even more is that, already, it looks like the re-payments are going to hit Labour MPs hardest. I’m certainly not going to deny that even post-tax, £64K a year is a very tidy sum. But even then, being hit for a bill of several thousand pounds is pretty severe. Especially if you don’t have any other source of income, except for your salary. Of course, we know which side of the House MPs  who tend to already have pots of wealth or lucrative second jobs sit on, don’t we?

Indeed, already it’s been Labour MPs who’ve been muttering about refusing to pay-back claims that were within the rules when the rules were made. This farrago has the potential to mess with Labour a lot more than the Tories (the fact that Brown has already been hauled out for a stoning only adds to this). And that bothers me, because it will be a result not of Labour having been worse expenses cheats (I think both parties were fairly equal in doing wrong, and why not check out Boy George’s dodgy – and so far, largely ignored – affairs whilst we are here) but of the playing field being uneven between them and the Conservatives. And that in itself bugs me, as well as the obvious fact I am partisan and loathe to see anything help the Tories.

To summarise: retrospective rule-changing in the case of MPs’ expenses looks morally fishy, is apparently inconsistent (both vis-a-vis rule breakers and the valid private sector comparison), is arbitrary, smacks of shallow gesture politics, makes legitimate complaint or appeal pretty much impossible from those affected, and is likely to unfairly hit one party more than the other because of general differences in abilities to pay, not because of any especially greater tendency towards wrong-doing.

Congratulations, Mr Legg, it looks like you just put together one hell of a dodgy package. But don’t mind me, I’m just a blogger and part-time philosopher who thinks about these things too much. Justice will be seen to be done, and that’s all that really matters.

Right?

October 7, 2009

Chums Regulating Chums

Posted in Cameron, Conservatives, Economics, History, Hysteria, Politics, Society at 7:45 pm by Paul Sagar

George Osborne’s “shot across the bows of the City” at Tory Conference was anything but:

“I have a tough message to the bankers too. The support from the taxpayer when you needed it most was there to prop up your banks not your bank accounts. Don’t forget that. I hope the new international rules work. It is the best solution. But if we find the money that should be going into stronger bank balance sheets is being unreasonably diverted into bigger pay and bonuses – we reserve the right to take further action and that includes using the tax system.”

A “tough message”? Pull the other one. A vague implication that Osborne might – like Geoffrey Howe in 1981 – slap a windfall tax on naughty banks is opaque posturing of an extremely calculated and cynical sort. On the one hand, Osborne wants to pander to a public which is incensed at bankers’ obscene remuneration and frequently blames bonuses for the crisis. Yet at the same time, Boy George – as he’s reportedly known in the City – is playing a clever second hand: letting the bankers know that he’s not at all serious about reining them in. Under the Tories, they can do whatever they want – it’s just that, y’know, those pesky proletarians have to think things have changed. Wink wink, nudge nudge.

This fits perfectly into the entire Tory approach to reform of the financial sector. The convenient thing for Osborne and Co. is that there’s a popular perception that bankers’ bonuses caused the crisis – even though they didn’t. The financial crisis and ensuing economic mess was caused by a systematic lack due to a crisis of regulation*, as this excellent article by Jeffrey Friedman makes clear. Unfortunately, regulating the City is antithetical to the neoliberal Thatcherite attitude to markets that Osborne, Cameron and much of the Tory Party still adhere to. Fortunately for the Tories, the public broadly doesn’t care about that stuff: it just wants Bankers’ pay to come down.

For evidence of this, consider that Fred Goodwin was repeatedly pilloried for his pension pot of £670,000 a year, yet Mervyn King saw his pension pot jump £500,000 in 2008 – to a £5million total – with little public interest. Goodwin was the face of the evil banker bonuses that wrecked our economy; King that of the abject failure of regulation (along with the Fundamentally Supine Authority, of course). The public demanded Goodwin burnt alive, but didn’t much care about King. Why? Because the “bonuses-caused-the-crash” narrative gained predominance over one about lack of regulation…even though the latter was where the trouble really came from.

Accordingly, at conference Osborne could make a sop towards bonuses, simultaneously attempting to please the City and the public. Yet even more importantly, he could side-step the altogether more important question of the Tories plans for regulation – or rather, lack of. Osborne could completely avoid having to explain why the Tories are committed to getting rid of the FSA altogether, and giving all power of regulation to the Bank of England alone.

Yes, that’s right, the Bank of England: that institution which is, and always has been, not only the bridging institution between Westminster and the Square Mile, but the chief champion and protector of the interests of the City*. The Tories are proposing to strip away the last vestiges of serious regulation (pathetic as they were) and plunge us into a system of “chums regulating chums”. Not only will King keep his pension pot (without even a hollow threat of a windfall tax for naughty behaviour) he will be charged with imposing regulation on the very people whose interests it is his purpose to champion. Trebles all round!

Perhaps they won’t be calling him Boy George in Threadneedle Street for much longer, eh?

*[h/t Dan for the correction

** Which, post-2008, clearly are not (always) identical with the interests of ordinary people.

September 26, 2009

Paedophile Hysteria: A Tentative Foucauldian Analysis

Posted in America, Books, History, Hysteria, Media, Political Philosophy, Politics, Society at 12:29 pm by Paul Sagar

That Britain is a nation which suffers, to varying extents, from a mass hysteria about paedophilia would seem a relatively uncontroversial statement. This, of course, is not to suggest that paedophilia is anything other than a heinous, deeply disturbing and horribly abusive practice. But it is to observe that the tabloid frenzies and mass panics about paedophiles – so fantastically satirised by Brass Eye – are a very real part of modern British society.

The latest manifestation of this came a couple of weeks ago, with the launch of the Independent Safeguarding Authority (ISA). This almost universally derrided mad-cap government scheme would apparently have “blacklisted” parents from being able to organise activities with their neighbours’ children if their behaviour had ever been reported as having involved the use of…sarcastic comments.

The ISA appears to have been bumped on the head – for now. But it’s worth asking, what was it that made the government initially think that the ISA was a good idea: an appropriate response to a widely-perceived social problem which would satisfy public demand for solutions to that problem?

A fairly standard story is usually trotted out at this point: New Labour is slavishly obsessed with chasing tabloid headlines; tabloids stir up paedophile frenzies to make money for themselves; ergo the government introduces crazy legislation as a way of pandering to mass hysteria on the paedophile issue.

All those things are, it’s worth stressing, true. But I’ve recently been wondering if perhaps there is a great deal more to it than just that. Here’s my very tentative early analysis.

I’ve recently been increasingly influenced by the thought of Michael Foucault, in particular his analysis of the prison system in Discipline and Punish. In that work, Foucault analyses the evolution and change of social systems of punishment, which includes the rise of individualised punishment, surveillance and importantly, the birth of the prison. The book is absolutely rammed full of ideas – many of which I’m still a long way from fully appreciating – but one aspect of Foucault’s analysis seems to me as follows.

There appears to be a paradox at the heart of modern penal systems. Prison is the default punishment for everything except the pettiest of crimes in our society. As soon as a crime breaches a certain level of (perceived) seriousness, prison is the inevitable and unchanging response. Yet if prison is intended to deter others from transgressing the law, to prevent individuals re-offending or to make society less crime-ridden, as we are frequently told, then it manifestly fails on all these counts – and badly*. Michael Howard was very wrong to claim that “prison works” if he meant it addressed those concerns. Prison is a school for criminals, and what is worse, a revolving-door institution of repeated incarceration for the majority of those who come into contact with it.

What Foucault does is flip the analysis on its head. Prison’s function is clearly not deterrence, correction or prevention – hence why it fails to achieve all these things, and why no serious efforts are implemented to try and make it achieve these things. Given this is in fact the state of affairs we are presented with, Foucault argues that it must in truth be the case that prison’s purpose is actually not to deter, to prevent re-offending or to make society less crime ridden at all. That those are prison’s functions is a common and deep-running misperception. In truth, it’s functions must be something else entirely (and certainly prison must have some function or functions, after all why else would prisons continue to exist unless they were doing something useful for which they were needed?).

Rather, prison’s function is far darker, more sinister and complicated than we are commonly encouraged to believe. It is something to do with the facilitation of methods of social control and surveillance, the entrenchment of the powers and privileges of the ruling classes, and the maintenance of classes of illegality which reflect social hierarchies of power (hence, for example, why very few “white collar” criminals go to prison, and most of the world’s prison populations are poor and working class criminals).

In providing this analysis – which one may or may not find plausible – Foucault presents the prison not as a simple institution offering simple solutions (deterrence, prevention, rehabilitation etc) to a simple phenomenon, but as a complex institution, responding to a very complex phenomenon with apparently simple solutions, which in fact mask vast underlying complexities about what prison’s true function is.

These vast complexities are, Foucault apparently contends, the product of a milieu of factors and tensions embedded within – and to a large extent, underpinning – our society. One of the more obvious ones to consider here is what can be termed the forces of the means of production (to borrow some Marxist-esque language): the way that relations of property influence not just society’s laws on property, but also the social hierarchies that grow up in relation to those property distributions and laws. These forces of the means of production shape our society in fundamental ways, one of which is the creation of certain classes of “crime” and “criminals”, defined in relation to the ownership of property under the particular property laws of a society . Prison must be seen as, in part, a complex product of those underlying forces of production.

Prison does have a function, therefore – but it’s function is not straightforwardly to deter, prevent and rehabilitate. It is rather (at least in part) to reflect the distributions of material and social power, and to be conducive to ends which those who control the most material and social power find beneficial (consciously or otherwise). Prison is not a simple response to a simple problem: it’s a complex phenomenon which is a product of not just the likewise complex phenomenon of “crime”, but also of the underlying features of our society which define what “crime” is in reference to fundamental forces, and relations that structure and define society in the first place.

So what on Earth does this have to do with paedophiles?

What I want to borrow are Foucault’s ideas that we need to analyse institutions or happenings as being the products of complex social phenomena in order to properly understand them, rather than offering easy, surface-level explanations.

The paedophile hysteria example looks like a case in point. The story which goes “there is paedophile hysteria because the Daily Mail creates it” looks to me far too simple. Sure, the Mail feeds a hysteria, and to a certain extent no doubt helps create it too. Yet we need to step back and ask: what is it about our society which means that creating hysteria about monstrous paedophile bogeymen hiding in every bush preying on every child is so easy, and so easily-received? Our society is highly conducive and receptive to this sort of hysteria in the first place. That the Mail et al. feed it – and the government respond with things like ISA – is indicative that something more fundamental is at play.

So what is it? Frustratingly, my analysis here comes up short. Certainly, there appears to be an age-old need – or perhaps better, demand – by human societies for the creation of enemies against which to define and oppose themselves. This is commonly done with external enemies who are perceived – sometimes rightly, but more often wrongly – as being fundamentally different and alien, as well as a mortal and perennial threat. Think the USSR until the early 1990s; think Islamic fundamentalism today.

There is also apparently a parallel need (or demand) to create enemies within societies; the terrifying threat of “the enemy within” which Thatcher, for example, identified, articulated and employed with such great effect. At this point crass and crude analogies to the persecutions of witches in Europe in the 16th and 17th centuries appear, at least tentatively, useful: the demonising and hunting-down of the internal enemy which – perhaps even more so than the external enemy – was a fundamental threat to life and limb. The same can, tentatively, be said of McCarthyism in 1950′s America: the zeal and fervour of the need to expose internal enemy agents working from within one’s own society – though in this case, on behalf of the external enemy too – created a truly terrifying possibility for many Americans caught-up in that particular hysteria.

So society’s appear to need – or possibly, demand – enemies, both within and without. It looks, again tentatively, as though a plausible story can be told about paedophile hysteria fulfilling – and being the product of – something fundamental in our society: a need for internal enemies; for demons that must be hunted down, exposed and destroyed. The behaviour of tabloid newspapers, and kowtowing populist governments, is only the surface of a very complex picture.

Because we surely must not simply stop at noting that paedophile hysteria appears to fulfil a need (or demand) for internal enemies. We must in turn ask: why do we collectively need (or demand) these internal enemies, and what are the underling social forces that create this demand? Furthermore, what is it about society that makes us turn to paedophiles specifically as the bogey-men of choice? Clearly, it has something to do with sex – but that in itself opens up a whole can of worms about the way our society conceives of, orientates itself towards, and responds to the notions of sex, innocence, vulnerability and chastity. Which, again, goes to show how complex this is – and also, incidentally, how society-specific: in the United States, the media hysteria centres around kidnapping**, and not paedophelia. The obsession with child molestation appears to be a very British thing, even if the need for internal enemies appears more universal.

So what is it about our British society – about all of us , you and I, collectively – that facilitates and enables the paedophile hysteria? Blaming tabloid newspapers and demagogic politicians can only be one chapter of a much longer story.

*I’m going to leave out considerations about retribution and revenge. Foucault addresses these, but they’re far too complex for present purposes.

** This was my marked experience when spending two months in the USA last summer: kidnapping stories dominated the 24 hours news networks in the way that paedophile hysteria is seized upon by British tabloids.

May 18, 2009

History Lessons

Posted in Hysteria, Middle East, Other blogs, Politics at 10:32 am by Paul Sagar

Read me having a highly polemical pop at Melanie Phillips, here.

April 29, 2009

BREAKING NEWS: Parliamentary Employees Instructed to Behave Like Adults in Efforts to Battle Pig Flu

Posted in Hysteria, Society at 1:16 pm by Paul Sagar

I have just received an email from Parliamentary Notices concerning the “outbreak” of swine flu (I work in the Houses of Commons, for those who don’t know).

It offers crucial advice for stopping the spread of swine flu:

We encourage you to take the following simple precautionary measures which have been shown to be effective in reducing the transmission of all viruses – this information is also being widely available in the national press, on health agency websites and elsewhere:

  • Cover your nose and mouth when coughing or sneezing, using a tissue when possible.
  • Dispose of dirty tissues promptly and carefully.
  • Maintain good basic hygiene, for example washing hands frequently with soap and water to reduce the spread of the virus from your hands to face or to other people.

I’m glad that I received this email!

You see, I was raised by a colony of feral urban baboons who taught me to sneeze in people’s faces, leave my used tissues in other people’s dinners, and to never, ever, wash my hands.

Thankfully these childhood lessons have been over-turned by the power of Parliamentary Notices, in their efforts to take the concept of the nanny state to a whole new level.

Oink

Posted in Hysteria, Media, Politics, Society at 11:40 am by Paul Sagar

HAVE YOU GOT A FACE MASK?!

ARE YOU PREPARED TO FIGHT FOR A FLU JAB – THERE’S ONLY ENOUGH FOR HALF OF US YOU KNOW?!

HAVE YOU TOUCHED A MEXICAN RECENTLY, OR EVEN EATEN A FAJITA, OR FOR THAT MATTER NIBBLED A BACON SANDWICH?!

BECAUSE IF YOU HAVE, YOU’RE PROBABLY GOING TO DIE!

IT’S HERE!

SWINE FLU!

WE’RE ALL GOING TO FUCKING DIE!!

ARE YOU FUCKING SCARED YET?!!

(Please buy our newspaper)

Said the media.

So we now know - due to great feats of investigative journalism – that there are….two cases of swine flu confirmed in the UK.

Those two cases comprise a newly-wed couple who got a bit ill after going on holiday to Mexico, but as far as I’m aware aren’t dead. The couple live in Scotland.

Yet London’s Evening Standard sees fit to scream London doctors can’t get hands on flu drugs, after booming “IT’S HERE!” from it’s front page yesterday. Last time I checked, London wasn’t in Scotland. But maybe I’m missing something.

Worldwide, swine flu is being reported in New Zealand, the USA, and today Germany. It started in Mexico, where 2,000 people have been diagnosed, and 150 people have died. Except not all of those deaths are confirmed cases of swine flu. And it’s an unremarkable and banal fact that ordinary flu kills people all the time. Especially when they have poor diets, poor health care, and live in conditions of poverty. You know, like your average poor Mexican.

At the time of writing, nobody outside of Mexico has died of swine flu.

Now, perhaps there will be a pandemic. But flu pandemics take time to develop. Listen to the piece on Radio 4 this morning (scroll down to 07.49) which explains that the flu pandemics of the late 1950s and 1960s took months to develop – and that months is plenty long enough for modern scientists to develop vaccines and treatments.

As Simon Jenkins argues, the swine flu hysteria is a media creation manufactured to shift units.

Which wouldn’t be so bad, if it weren’t the case that human beings world wide are in fact faced with a true viral pandemic of apocalyptic proportions, which is claiming millions of live. Perhaps you’ve heard of it?

It’s called HIV/Aids, and the figures look like this:

Estimate Range
People living with HIV/AIDS in 2007 33.0 million 30.3-36.1 million
Adults living with HIV/AIDS in 2007 30.8 million 28.2-34.0 million
Women living with HIV/AIDS in 2007 15.5 million 14.2-16.9 million
Children living with HIV/AIDS in 2007 2.0 million 1.9-2.3 million
People newly infected with HIV in 2007 2.7 million 2.2-3.2 million
Children newly infected with HIV in 2007 0.37 million 0.33-0.41 million
AIDS deaths in 2007 2.0 million 1.8-2.3 million
Child AIDS deaths in 2007 0.27 million 0.25-0.29 million

More than 25 million people have died of AIDS since 1981.

Africa has 11.6 million AIDS orphans.

At the end of 2007, women accounted for 50% of all adults living with HIV worldwide, and for 59% in sub-Saharan Africa.

Young people (under 25 years old) account for half of all new HIV infections worldwide.

In developing and transitional countries, 9.7 million people are in immediate need of life-saving AIDS drugs; of these, only 2.99 million (31%) are receiving the drugs. (Source)

That’s a real pandemic. But reporting on the daily fact that poor black Africans, and poor Russian drug users, and poor Latin Americans told by the Pope not to use condoms, are dying in their millions doesn’t sell newspapers, does it?

No, far better to squeal hysterically like little piggies and adhere to the principle that the one thing which sells better than sex is fear.

UPDATE: As of 13.27 when I checked the BBC, there has been a confirmed death from swine flu outside of Mexic, over the border in Texas.

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